Strategy Lab

Prop-firm strategy research, ranked by survival first. The current best shelf anchor is the MNQ/MES DBP Morning Filter Router: a demo-gated candidate with strong funded survival math, but still blocked from paid-eval automation until fresh live data and one supervised paper bracket are proven.

1 Preview the edge

Scan the stats, equity curve, Monte Carlo, and screenshots first.

2 Open the proof

Each strategy has a deeper dashboard and PDF research brief.

3 Unlock the rules

Paid releases will include parameters, code, and execution notes.

Quick read

Use the shelf like a filter.

The shelf is sorted by decision quality: current demo candidates first, then archived routers, then free study examples. Live automation is not claimed until broker-connected paper logs prove fills, timestamps, brackets, and fail-closed behavior.

556 filtered trades 3.56 trades/week 60.8% win rate 2.06 profit factor 74.3% 44d pass 98.7% funded payout Apress audit pass No automation claim

Current decision sheet

Best current routeable candidate: MNQ/MES DBP Morning Filter Router. It keeps 556 trades from the detector-ready opening-structure portfolio and skips one DBP open-drive reclaim slice during 08:00-08:59 entry time to reduce failure-tail risk. It is a site candidate and demo candidate, not paid-eval automation yet.

Model Status Trades Freq Win Exp PF Eval Funded Decision
MNQ/MES DBP Morning Filter Router Demo candidate 556 3.56/wk 60.8% +0.383R 2.06 74.33% pass / 26d median 98.69% payout Current best anchor; blocked only by live-data/paper-bracket proof
Strict Funded Observation Guard Internal watchlist 350 2.25/wk 64.9% +0.285R 1.80 57.6% pass / 86d median 95.3% payout Good funded survival; not eval automation yet
Raw Detector-Ready Book Research context only 620 3.98/wk 65.7% +0.389R 2.30 90.8% pass before strict route 99.8% payout before strict route Useful, but not the orderable result
No-Leak Prop Anchor Corrected research anchor 605 3.88/wk 64.6% +0.285R 1.85 89.2% pass / 61d median 99.7% payout Keep as audit anchor; no live account yet
MES Power-Hour Positive Add-On Rejected: leakage audit 26 add-on rows Outcome-filtered Invalid Invalid Invalid Do not promote Do not automate Rebuild only with pre-entry regime labels
MNQ Prior-Day Sweep 4R Sleeve Internal watchlist 55 0.36/wk 32.7% +0.529R 1.71 Improves speed only as tiny-risk sleeve Strong but sparse Keep researching; not standalone
MNQ Rolling Sweep 1.75R Rejected for routing 163 1.04/wk 49.7% +0.226R 1.39 Worse than anchor after strict stress Not enough portfolio value Detector passed; route failed
PBX Pullback Expansion Mutation family only 55-98 Sparse 32-38% +0.20R range ~1.3 Did not beat anchor Funded behavior acceptable Modify, do not sell

What this means: the current best anchor is no longer the older strict 350-trade observation guard. The DBP morning-filter router has better public shelf stats, stronger funded survival, and a detector patch that can be observed live.

Current robustness gate: 556 trades, 60.8% win rate, +0.383R expectancy, 2.06 profit factor, 5.63R historical max drawdown, 74.33% 44-day pass, and 98.69% funded60 payout under the safe/default governor.

Current blocker: the launch gate is still NO-GO for paid evaluation because fresh current data, one fresh accepted signal, and one supervised paper bracket have not been proven.

Prop account timing: use this for paper/demo observation first. Buying an evaluation before the paper-bracket gate passes would be testing platform plumbing with real challenge risk.

Research Archive

Archive context: older candidates are retained for comparison and evidence review. They are not the current automation anchor unless they pass the newer no-leak audit, local paper rehearsal, and broker-connected paper observation gates.

Profile Eval pass Fail Funded payout Cost stress Median timing P95 DD Frequency Verdict
Filtered Open-Drive + Prior-Day Sweep Demo / $275->$125 risk 90.3% 2.5% 89.99% pass+payout path Miss7 89.6% / Miss5 82.6% / random 80.0% 95d pass+payout path $1,728 eval / $855 funded 2.92/wk Best current demo candidate; needs frozen-gate walk-forward before automation
Exact 50K rule matrix / Topstep-style $225->$125 97.8% 0.1% 97.8% pass+payout path Random miss + extra cost: 95.4% 114d base / 128d stressed P95 ~$1,333-$1,346 / P99 ~$1,634-$1,650 2.92/wk Demo automation candidate; needs paper fill audit before live use
Exact 50K rule matrix / Tradeify Select Flex $225->$125 98.0% 0.1% 98.0% pass+payout path Random miss + extra cost: 95.6% 113d base / 128d stressed P95 ~$1,336-$1,337 / P99 ~$1,643-$1,650 2.92/wk Best firm fit so far if EOD drawdown rules remain current
Opening Structure + Midday Sweep / $250 eval risk 82.2% 2.2% 99.0% at $125 funded risk +0.10R per trade 67d eval / 47d payout $1,709 eval / $772 funded 2.63/wk Best strict live-guard eval profile
M1 Active RTH Add-On / $125-$150 funded risk 76.8% at $200 eval risk 1.8% 99.6% +0.10R per trade 72d eval / 29-35d payout $1,640 eval / $850-$969 funded 3.10/wk ATR-state funded watchlist; not default eval profile
Open-Drive Reclaim Eval + M1 State Funded / $250->$125 risk 85.2% 2.0% 99%+ funded survival path +0.10R plus missed-fill stress 102d pass+payout path $1,712 eval / $847 funded ~2.7-2.9/wk Primary challenger; higher base pass+payout, not demo-ready
Open-Drive Reclaim Aggressive Eval + M1 State Funded / $275->$125 risk 87.9% 2.9% 99%+ funded survival path Higher eval risk frontier 98d pass+payout path stress screen: 80.4% miss7 ~2.7-2.9/wk Primary aggressive challenger; below 3% base eval-fail target
Open-Drive + Prior-Day Sweep Add-On / unfiltered $265->$125 risk 89.1% 2.8% 99%+ funded survival path Miss7 88.9% / Miss5 78.0% 96d pass+payout path $1,770 eval / stress-screened funded 3.04/wk Superseded by filtered demo candidate; random execution stress was weaker
Opening Structure + Midday Sweep / $150 funded risk 44.8% at $150 eval risk 0.1% 99.6% +0.10R per trade 93d eval / 35d payout $1,095 eval / $855 funded 2.63/wk Best funded-survival profile
Strict Opening Structure control / $250 eval risk 73.1% 2.2% 95.7% at $125 funded risk +0.10R per trade 74d eval / 59d payout $1,678 eval / $794 funded 2.25/wk Routeable baseline before midday add-on
Detector signal book reference / $200 eval risk 90.9% ~0.9% 99.7% at $125 funded risk +0.10R per trade 59-60d eval / 41-42d payout ~$1,480 eval / ~$830 funded 3.98/wk signal book Research reference only; not fully routeable under strict live guard

Practical recommendation: paper-test the governed filtered prior-sweep candidate before any live account. The confirmed gate is frozen: early NY-open signals only, pre-entry regime contains positive, $225 eval risk, $125 funded risk, max three trades per day, $400 daily stop, $650 daily lock, and half risk after $800 modeled drawdown.

Exact 50K rule update: the governed version was confirmed across 15,000 paths per row against Topstep-style and Tradeify Select Flex 50K rule models. Base pass + payout held near 97.8%-98.0%, random missed-fill plus extra-cost stress held near 95.4%-95.6%, and p99 evaluation drawdown stayed around $1,634-$1,650. This promotes it to demo automation candidate, but not live-funded ready until broker fill logging and intraday breach monitoring are verified.

Demo package status: a paper-prep package is staged with live-safe signal replay, order-intent replay, governor-state template, fill-log schema, kill-switch rules, and acceptance checklist. The live-safe files contain 455 replay rows and intentionally exclude outcome fields such as result, MAE, net R, and hold time.

Observation harness: replay validation processed 455 live-safe signals with zero order or fill events. A separate fail-closed test blocked 80/80 signals when the news calendar was unavailable. This is observation-ready, not broker-routing ready.

Two-phase prop policy: the best current eval-to-funded route is anchor at $250 eval risk, then M1 Active RTH at $125 funded risk after passing. In 20,000 modeled paths this produced 81.8% pass + payout, 2.3% eval fail, 0.04% funded fail after pass, and 105 median trading days on successful paths.

New research branch: the strongest mixed policy uses the Open-Drive Reclaim sleeve for evaluation, then switches to the M1 State Router for funded mode. In 10,000 modeled base paths it produced 84.7% pass + payout, 2.0% eval fail, 0.05% funded fail after pass, and 102 median trading days.

Risk frontier: the cleaner aggressive sleeve now uses Open-Drive Reclaim variant 066 at $275 eval risk, then M1 State Router at $125 funded risk. In 20,000 paths it reached 87.9% pass + payout, 2.9% eval fail, 98 median trading days, and 80.4% pass + payout under miss-every-7 stress. $300+ is not the default because breach risk rises too much.

Filtered prior-sweep update: the frozen positive-regime prior-sweep filter reached 89.99% pass + payout, 2.53% eval fail, 95 median trading days, 89.6% miss-every-7, 82.6% miss-every-5, and 80.0% random missed-fill plus extra-cost survival across 20,000 paths. It is promoted to demo candidate, not automation candidate, until split-period validation holds.

Rule update: strict live-guard simulation is now the default prop gate. Raw detector-book pass figures are retained only as research context.

Detector gate status: complete for the 620-row signal book and the midday sweep add-on. Strict routing currently accepts 410 trades. Next gate is observation-only forward logging before paper routing.

Older shelf preview

Prop Eval Blend 80

A historical shelf model kept for evidence review. It is not the current automation anchor. Use this page to compare older research against the newer prop-governed anchor.

Open full evidence dashboard
Trades457closed historical signals
Win rate80.7%blended signal set
Target RR0.3-1.25Rcontext-specific exits
Net return+78.5Rnormalized risk units
Profit factor1.82gross wins / gross losses
Max drawdown5.51Rhistorical path
MC p90 DD8.47Rbootstrap stress path
120d prop read68.7%$350 risk pass estimate
120d fail read7.8%$350 risk fail estimate
Equity Curve Preview public evidence
Locked

Private strategy file

Unlock includes the rule sheet, stop/target model, platform notes, and source code.

Payment unlock coming soon
TradingView proof layer

TradingView buyer assets are staged.

TradingView PineScript previews and source files are built and staged privately. Public chart screenshots are attached on strategy pages as each script passes the compile/add-to-chart check.

15 Pine baselines

One LuxAlgo Quant AI generated script per current shelf strategy.

Screenshot pack staged

Opening Drive Reclaim now has a live chart preview; the rest remain in the staged buyer packet.

Private code vault

No .pine or .lux.pine files are placed under public_html.

What the data means

Deep enough to trust, simple enough to scan.

Each candidate is normalized in R-multiples, then shown with drawdown, profit factor, Monte Carlo stress, and prop-style pass/fail estimates where available.

Live dashboards23working public routes after deploy
Newest prop routerMNQ 1-Min Open Drive Router360 trades / 62.8% win / PF 1.98
ModelingR-baseddrawdown and prop-style stress
Evidence window2023-2026where full replay exists
R-multiple first

Results can scale across small accounts or prop sizing.

Drawdown buffer

Risk sizing is compared against historical and simulated drawdowns.

Prop-style math

Pass/fail reads estimate challenge pressure, not guaranteed outcomes.

Forward-test gate

No model is called live-approved until demo fills match the research.

Research vault

Strategy shelf

Cards are research pages, not equal recommendations. Prioritize status first: paper observation beats site candidate, site candidate beats internal watchlist, and no page is live automation-approved yet.

Tier C

Fade Pulse Research

Faster failed-auction style model; promising but still needs broader validation.

Win
61.6%
RR
~1.25R
Trades
112
PF
1.66
Net
+31.9R
View dashboard Download PDF

Free PDF and public dashboard are open now. Use these for study and forward-test practice, not live trade advice.

Free C-tier research
Tier C

Failed Auction Short Research

MES-focused short-side research branch with a larger sample and moderate edge.

Win
56.8%
RR
~1.25R
Trades
199
PF
1.34
Net
+32.9R
View dashboard Download PDF

Free PDF and public dashboard are open now. Use these for study and forward-test practice, not live trade advice.

Free C-tier research
Tier C

MES Bollinger Reclaim Research

Profitable MES power-hour Bollinger reclaim study. It did not meet the 70%+ premium signal threshold, so it is filed as free research/context rather than unattended automation.

Win
57.8%
RR
0.75R
Trades
367
PF
1.22
Net
+23.3R
View dashboard Download PDF

Free lower-tier research. Useful as context/filter study; not promoted as a standalone 70%+ signal or automation-ready prop model.

Free C-tier research
Tier C

VWAP Midday Reclaim Research

Very conservative MES/MNQ midday VWAP sweep-reclaim study. The win rate is close to the desired bar, but the sample is too small and the trade frequency is far below the daily-signal goal.

Win
68.3%
RR
1.0R
Trades
60
PF
2.00
Net
+16.7R
View dashboard Download PDF

Free C-tier conservative research. Positive historical read, but too infrequent for the active signal engine we are hunting now.

Free C-tier research
Tier B-

Opening Drive Reclaim Research

MES/MNQ New York open continuation study with a quality mode and a higher-frequency mode. This is a stronger lead than the C-tier research, but still demo-only until stress-tested further.

Win
63.0%
RR
1.0R
Trades
165 / 516
PF
1.56 / 1.24
Net
+34.3R / +50.6R
View dashboard Download PDF

B-minus research/demonstration candidate. Positive historical read with useful frequency option, but not labeled prop-ready automation.

Free B- research preview
The honest hard part

Passing faster without breaking the edge.

The current flagship is slow because it waits for rare, clean setups. To improve eval speed, the right move is not forcing low-quality trades. The right move is adding independent validated modules that trade different conditions while sharing the same prop guard.

Unlock and payment area

Locked strategy files will unlock the exact entry/exit rules, stop and target parameters, platform notes, and code delivery. Stripe checkout is not connected yet, so locked buttons currently route here for access requests.

Request strategy unlock
Audit trail

How the strategy data was tested

Each public dashboard is built from local historical replay artifacts, then stress-tested with normalized R-multiple stats, equity curves, Monte Carlo paths, and modeled prop-style pass/fail simulations. The exact playbook stays locked unless a strategy is marked free or unlocked.

Market data references

MES and MNQ are CME Group Micro E-mini equity-index futures. Contract specs and tick structure are linked below so buyers can verify the instrument being modeled.

CME MES contract specs CME MNQ contract specs
Historical replay source

Research artifacts were generated from local futures replay files and Databento historical-data pulls where available, then converted into strategy-level closed-trade CSVs.

Databento Historical API docs
Simulation method

Headline prop reads now use calendar-aware 120-weekday Monte Carlo paths, include zero-trade weekdays, and apply +0.10R execution-cost stress where noted. Older active-day-only reads are retained only as research context.

What is not proven

These are not broker statements, audited live fills, or financial advice. Slippage, latency, platform behavior, missed trades, rule changes, and market-regime shifts can break live results.

Risk note

Strategy research is educational software and trading research, not financial advice. Backtests and Monte Carlo simulations can fail in live markets due to fees, slippage, latency, platform behavior, regime changes, and user execution.